Veertien Kuwana vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
15º
5º
36
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 55 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 44 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veertien Kuwana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SON
1 - 1
VEK
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VEK
1 - 0
FCI
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VEK
1 - 3
SUN
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TCF
0 - 0
VEK
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VEK
1 - 0
YOK
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HON
3 - 0
OSV
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
URA
0 - 1
HON
11%
20%
69%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
CRS
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KUS
2 - 1
HON
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HON
3 - 0
HON
78%
16%
6%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |