Oostkamp vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
53
3º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 88.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oostkamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OOS
6 - 0
SPO
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WES
1 - 1
OOS
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OOS
4 - 2
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
OOS
1 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
6%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SVA
2 - 0
OOS
7%
14%
79%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
STA
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
MER
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MER
2 - 2
KSC
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FBO
2 - 0
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 2
MER
11%
16%
74%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |