Vauxhall Motors vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VAU
2 - 1
BLY
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
2 - 2
VAU
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VAU
3 - 1
GAI
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TOW
1 - 2
VAU
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 4
VAU
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 1
DRO
39%
23%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
2 - 2
VAU
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 2
SOL
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 5
HIN
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 2
BOS
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |