Vauxhall Motors vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VAU
0 - 0
BOS
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BLY
2 - 2
VAU
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
VAU
1 - 1
TOW
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 0
VAU
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 1
VAU
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HIN
4 - 0
RFC
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
EAS
6 - 2
HIN
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HIN
1 - 2
GUI
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TOW
2 - 2
HIN
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
COR
2 - 0
HIN
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |