Vauxhall Motors vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
VAU
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
VAU
2 - 2
HED
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 1
VAU
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
VAU
0 - 2
BRA
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
OXF
3 - 0
VAU
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
TOW
2 - 3
GUI
33%
25%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 0
TOW
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TOW
4 - 2
GLO
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
HED
1 - 3
TOW
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
TOW
3 - 2
ALT
29%
25%
47%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |