Vauxhall Motors vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
HYD
4 - 2
VAU
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
KID
2 - 0
VAU
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VAU
4 - 4
KID
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VAU
1 - 1
HIS
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VAU
3 - 2
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
WOR
46%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
TOW
4 - 0
COL
28%
26%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COL
6 - 3
DRO
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
HAL
1 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |