Vauxhall Motors vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 1
VAU
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAU
2 - 1
OXF
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HIS
2 - 0
VAU
42%
24%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
VAU
2 - 1
SOL
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAU
2 - 1
HIN
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
HIS
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRA
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BIS
1 - 2
CHE
22%
24%
55%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 6
CHE
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 2
CHE
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |