Canadian Championship 1/16
Global 3-3
Vaughan Azzurri vs HFX Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
84.6%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.6%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 0
HFX
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HFX
2 - 1
FOR
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
PAC
1 - 0
HFX
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |