Vatnaliljur vs Afturelding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatnaliljur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
VAT
4 - 0
AFR
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
MID
2 - 0
VAT
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
VAT
2 - 1
BER
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +5 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MID
3 - 4
VAT
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
KHR
6 - 1
VAT
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Afturelding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
NJA
1 - 0
AFT
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
AFT
1 - 2
LEI
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
AFT
2 - 0
SKI
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
KFF
1 - 1
AFT
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
DAL
0 - 4
AFT
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |