Vatanspor vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
85.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatanspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
VAT
2 - 0
IFL
12%
15%
73%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
VAT
1 - 5
AAF
8%
14%
79%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
FUG
3 - 1
VAT
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
HOL
3 - 2
VAT
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VAT
2 - 1
AAB
51%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
AGF
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MID
0 - 2
AGF
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
AGF
1 - 0
LYN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
OBK
1 - 2
AGF
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AGF
0 - 0
RAN
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |