Vatan Sport vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
10º
9º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GEE
2 - 4
VAT
68%
16%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VAT
2 - 4
OBE
32%
21%
47%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 0
VAT
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAT
4 - 2
BTN
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
VAT
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WER
1 - 3
OSC
9%
13%
78%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WER
2 - 5
WOL
11%
15%
74%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GEE
5 - 0
WER
87%
9%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WER
0 - 6
OBE
11%
15%
75%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 4
WER
88%
9%
4%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +2 |