Vatan Sport vs Vahr-Blockdiek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
53%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
12º
33
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
VAT
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAT
3 - 2
TRB
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +3 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 3
VAT
91%
6%
3%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
VAT
2 - 7
WER
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 1
VAT
36%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VAB
3 - 0
BRI
39%
21%
41%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BTN
4 - 3
VAB
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
VAB
0 - 3
BLU
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
VAB
76%
13%
11%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 5
VAB
10%
14%
76%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |