Vatan Sport vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
76.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
12º
47
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BTN
6 - 0
VAT
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
VAT
1 - 6
SVH
9%
15%
77%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 2
LEH
65%
18%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 1
VAT
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 4
TKA
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
4 - 1
TKA
85%
10%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
TRB
74%
14%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GEE
1 - 4
OBE
29%
19%
52%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 4
WOL
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 3
OBE
18%
17%
66%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |