Vatan Sport vs Leher TS Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
12º
29
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 1
VAT
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 4
TKA
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TRB
1 - 3
VAT
51%
20%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
VAT
57%
19%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 4
UNI
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leher TS Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LEH
0 - 0
BRI
35%
20%
45%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BTN
1 - 2
LEH
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LEH
2 - 3
SVH
7%
11%
82%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 1
LEH
81%
11%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 0
LEH
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |