Vatan Sport vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 0
VAT
23%
18%
59%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
VAT
1 - 4
SGA
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
BRE
4 - 1
VAT
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
VAT
1 - 1
LEH
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 2
VAT
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GEE
2 - 5
WER
13%
15%
73%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VFL
1 - 2
GEE
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GEE
1 - 1
HAB
26%
20%
54%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
OSC
3 - 2
GEE
64%
17%
19%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GEE
1 - 0
BTN
30%
22%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |