Vatan Sport vs Brinkumer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+146%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
12º
32
4º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VAT
1 - 3
OBE
10%
13%
77%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BTN
6 - 0
VAT
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
VAT
1 - 6
SVH
9%
15%
77%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 2
LEH
65%
18%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 1
VAT
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Brinkumer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
GEE
20%
18%
62%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
BTN
42%
21%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
BLU
29%
20%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LEH
0 - 0
BRI
35%
20%
45%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 0
VAB
23%
20%
57%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |