Vatan Sport vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
45.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
12º
42
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 2
VAT
32%
22%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VAT
3 - 1
VAB
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
VAT
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAT
3 - 2
TRB
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +3 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 3
VAT
91%
6%
3%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
0 - 2
BRI
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 3
BLU
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
4 - 1
SVH
14%
16%
69%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +5 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GEE
3 - 0
BLU
57%
19%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
VAB
0 - 3
BLU
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |