VAST Mykolaiv vs Real Pharma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
7º
27
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 35 |
3º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
6º
|
86% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
61% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 9 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 6 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VAST Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
VAM
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAM
1 - 2
FKC
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAM
2 - 0
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NYV
2 - 0
VAM
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VAM
0 - 1
FNB
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 0
FKK
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RPH
0 - 3
CHA
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FKC
4 - 0
RPH
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
RPH
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 3
NYV
27%
26%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |