VAST Mykolaiv vs PFK Zvyagel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
13º
10º
61
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VAST Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
RPH
1 - 2
VAM
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 1
VAM
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
VAM
29%
21%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
VAM
5%
10%
85%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
4 - 1
VAM
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
FCZ
1 - 0
SST
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RUT
1 - 2
FCZ
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCZ
1 - 1
FKK
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 1
FCZ
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCZ
2 - 0
KAR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |