Vasco da Gama vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2000 |
VAS
4 - 0
ATM
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
SLO
0 - 2
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 2
VAS
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
4 - 0
AMF
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
4 - 3
FLU
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
VIT
5 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2000 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
BOT
0 - 0
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIT
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
VIT
1 - 1
GAM
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |