Vasco da Gama vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SPO
3 - 3
VAS
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 2
BOT
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
AMF
1 - 1
VAS
25%
27%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
VAS
4 - 0
ATP
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 1
VAS
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
UCO
4 - 0
PUE
80%
13%
6%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
1 - 0
CCP
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
4 - 0
OHI
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
SWA
1 - 3
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |