Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 2
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAS
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 2
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 4
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 1
PPE
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
SPO
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |