Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
FLA
3 - 0
VAS
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 0
FRI
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 3
FLA
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
SPO
0 - 1
ARN
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
ARN
0 - 1
SPO
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
ATP
3 - 1
SPO
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIT
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
SPO
0 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |