Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 4
FLA
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
GOI
0 - 1
VAS
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
0 - 0
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAS
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
ATP
0 - 1
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
CEA
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 2
SAO
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
4 - 0
CHA
55%
26%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |