Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
JUV
4 - 1
VAS
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 2
VAS
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 3
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 2
VAS
9%
18%
73%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
COT
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 0
STR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
COR
1 - 5
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
73%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |