Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 2
PPE
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
COT
0 - 1
VAS
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
4 - 1
VAS
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
5 - 2
BOT
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAO
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 2
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
45%
24%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |