Vasco da Gama vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 2
VAS
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
VAS
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
3 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
FFL
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
COT
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
CRI
0 - 4
SAO
39%
28%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 1
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
SAO
40%
30%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |