Vasco da Gama vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
ATP
2 - 2
VAS
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
FFL
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
GRE
4 - 3
VAS
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VAS
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 2
VAS
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 2
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
GOI
3 - 0
SAN
38%
25%
38%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
FLU
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PPE
3 - 4
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
VIT
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |