Vasco da Gama vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
VAS
14%
24%
62%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
VAS
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
VAS
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAM
82%
14%
4%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
PPE
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
JEC
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
SAN
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMF
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
OES
1 - 1
SAN
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |