Vasco da Gama vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
COT
0 - 1
VAS
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
4 - 1
VAS
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
FFL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 0
SCI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
PPE
3 - 0
PAY
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
PPE
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 0
PPE
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 1
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CRZ
5 - 0
PPE
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |