Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-1
Vasco da Gama vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
FLA
1 - 5
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
VAS
5 - 0
CAB
96%
4%
1%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
AME
1 - 3
VAS
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
VOL
0 - 3
VAS
12%
19%
69%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
VAS
0 - 0
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
PPE
4 - 0
DOM
88%
10%
2%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
DOM
1 - 2
PPE
8%
22%
70%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
PPE
0 - 0
GAM
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
COR
1 - 2
PPE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
SAO
1 - 0
PPE
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |