Vasco da Gama vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 2
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
POR
2 - 2
VAS
35%
26%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 0
SLO
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 1
PPE
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2000 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
SLO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 1
PEÑ
64%
19%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2000 |
PEÑ
4 - 3
VAS
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
PEÑ
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |