Vasco da Gama vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
29%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 2
VAS
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
VAS
4 - 0
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 2
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 2
VAS
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
PPE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |