Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 2
VAS
32%
25%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 2
VAS
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
COT
0 - 0
PAL
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAN
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 3
CRZ
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 0
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 1
COR
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |