Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-5
Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAS
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
GOI
4 - 2
VAS
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
VAS
2 - 0
ARN
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
ARN
0 - 1
VAS
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 4
VAS
3%
14%
84%
|
83 | 31 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAS
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1999 |
VIT
2 - 2
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 1
CCP
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
PAL
5 - 0
GAM
96%
3%
1%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
GAM
0 - 1
PAL
3%
13%
84%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |