Vasco da Gama vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAS
29%
25%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
TUN
0 - 3
VAS
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
RIO
1 - 0
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VAS
0 - 0
CRZ
54%
24%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1986 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
OPE
0 - 2
RIO
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1986 |
OPE
0 - 3
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
GUA
2 - 0
OPE
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
SAN
3 - 0
OPE
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
BAH
2 - 1
OPE
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |