Vasco da Gama vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 0
VAS
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 0
ARN
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 4
VAS
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
VAS
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 0
COR
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SAO
5 - 0
NAU
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
ATM
46%
24%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 2
FFL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 5
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |