Vasco da Gama vs Mesquita FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
16%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.9%
2.2%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLA
43%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
0 - 1
VAS
14%
19%
67%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 4
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
FRI
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 4
VAS
8%
16%
77%
|
79 | 32 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAD
2 - 1
MES
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MES
0 - 1
RES
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
AME
5 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MES
0 - 1
FLU
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
VOL
2 - 1
MES
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |