Vasco da Gama vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.3%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
VAS
8%
18%
74%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
JWI
4 - 0
VAS
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
VAS
4 - 0
JWI
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 0
UCO
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VAS
3 - 1
VOL
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 2
BAN
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
MAC
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
POR
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
BOT
11%
23%
66%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |