Vasco da Gama vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
CAX
1 - 5
VAS
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
53%
27%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
VAS
1 - 0
SAN
42%
29%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
FLA
0 - 0
VAS
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VAS
1 - 1
JEC
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
LON
1 - 0
COR
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
SAN
1 - 2
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
LON
1 - 0
FLA
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
LON
2 - 0
CAX
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
GOI
1 - 2
LON
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |