Vasco da Gama vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAR
48%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CRZ
2 - 1
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
ATP
6 - 4
VAS
55%
22%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
VAS
3 - 1
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2006 |
VAS
3 - 0
PAL
41%
25%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
FFL
1 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
JUV
3 - 2
SAN
24%
25%
52%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
SCI
1 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
FLU
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |