Vasco da Gama vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
CON
0 - 1
VAS
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
47%
23%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
VAS
1 - 0
REM
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VAS
0 - 0
ATP
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
LON
2 - 2
VAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
REM
1 - 0
JEC
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
JEC
3 - 0
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
JEC
0 - 2
PPE
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
JEC
2 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
31%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
JEC
1 - 0
JUV
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |