Vasco da Gama vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
VAS
3 - 2
SCI
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 0
VAS
47%
24%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
18%
25%
58%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRZ
13%
21%
66%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 2
GUA
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
GOI
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |