Vasco da Gama vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
GOI
3 - 1
VAS
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 1
VAS
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
FFL
0 - 0
VAS
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 0
GRE
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 0
GRE
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
PAY
6 - 1
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
GUA
3 - 0
FFL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 0
ATP
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
COR
1 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |