Vasco da Gama vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis

Vasco da Gama Chivas Guadalajara
82 ELO 75
17.1% Tilt 9.1%
194º General ELO ranking 347º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
79.7%
Vasco da Gama
12.4%
Draw
7.9%
Chivas Guadalajara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.9%
Win probability
Chivas Guadalajara
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-6%
+5%
Chivas Guadalajara

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Chivas Guadalajara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 1998
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
57%
22%
21%
81 81 0 0
20 Mar. 1998
AME
América
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
36%
24%
40%
81 76 5 0
17 Mar. 1998
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
37%
24%
40%
82 76 6 -1
12 Mar. 1998
VIL
Vila Nova
0 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
13%
18%
69%
82 58 24 0
04 Mar. 1998
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
45%
25%
30%
82 81 1 0

Matches

Chivas Guadalajara
Chivas Guadalajara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 1998
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 0
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
68%
18%
14%
76 80 4 0
24 Mar. 1998
AME
América
2 - 0
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
52%
23%
26%
77 76 1 -1
17 Mar. 1998
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
37%
24%
40%
76 82 6 +1
10 Mar. 1998
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
38%
24%
39%
76 82 6 0
04 Mar. 1998
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
0 - 1
América
AME
61%
20%
19%
76 75 1 0
X