Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
VAS
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 3
ECN
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 1
FLU
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
GOI
4 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 0
COR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |