Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
CRZ
4 - 1
VAS
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
VAS
0 - 2
PAY
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
SCI
2 - 1
VAS
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 4
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 1
VAS
22%
23%
55%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 1
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 4
JUV
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |