Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1998 |
AME
1 - 1
VAS
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1998 |
CHI
1 - 0
VAS
37%
24%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1998 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAS
13%
18%
69%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 0
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1998 |
SAO
2 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
AME
1 - 2
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1998 |
CHI
1 - 0
GRE
38%
24%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1998 |
GRE
2 - 0
LIN
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |