Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-2
Vasco da Gama vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VOL
0 - 0
VAS
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 0
ABC
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RES
1 - 1
VAS
9%
20%
71%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
OPE
0 - 0
VAS
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 1
VAS
6%
16%
78%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 0
IPO
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 2
GOI
17%
22%
61%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
0 - 1
AME
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
4 - 1
ANA
86%
11%
4%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |