Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 2
VAS
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 3
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 2
VAS
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
50%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
OLA
1 - 2
VAS
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
COT
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
ICA
70%
18%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
3 - 1
UNI
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 1
ITU
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |